Predicting the future is notoriously difficult. But systematic analysis leads to clearer understanding and wiser decisions. Thinking about the future also makes social scientists focus their research into the past and present more fruitfully, with more attention to key predictors of change.
This book considers how we might think intelligently about the future. Taking different methodological approaches, well-known specialists forecast likely future developments and trends in human life. The questions they address include: How many humans will there be? Will there be enough energy? How will climate change affect our lives? What patterns of work will exist? How will government work at the local, national, and world level? Will inflation remain under control? Why have past forecasts been so bad? The book concludes with a discussion of the intellectual and historical context of futurology and a look at the accuracy of predictions that were made for the year 2000.
About the Editors
Richard N. Cooper is Maurits C. Boas Professor of International Economics at Harvard University.
Richard Layard is Director of the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics.
"...[This book]serves a useful purpose by stimulating human responses to avoid possible disasters."—Foreign Affairs
"There are valuable lessons here.", Graham May, New Scientist
"...[This book]serves a useful purpose by stimulating human responses to avoid possible disasters." Foreign Affairs