Kosta Tsipis

  • Reason Enough to Hope

    Reason Enough to Hope

    America and the World of the Twenty-first Century

    Philip Morrison and Kosta Tsipis

    Two eminent scientists offer a global approach to issues of security and development.

    In this "blue-sky" effort to rethink humanity's basic challenges, Philip Morrison and Kosta Tsipis—both eminent scientists with deep expertise in arms control issues—sketch the broad outlines for a global approach to the problems of security and development. Their goal is to set priorities for feasible action, and their focus is threefold: war and particularly the continuing dangers of nuclear weapons, population and the promotion of increased levels of human well-being, and the threat of environmental degradation.Although their topics are global, the authors focus on the actions of the United States. In their discussion of nuclear options, for example, they argue that reducing American military expenditures can be a catalyst for lowering the world's nuclear risk, establishing a policy of "common security" in response to conventional war, and freeing resources that will allow substantial steps toward "common development." In their discussion of human needs, the authors emphasize the fact that the rate of annual growth in the world's population peaked between 1967 and 1970 and has declined steadily ever since; we can therefore now project what the near steady-state level might be. This topping off of population growth should give us a new baseline from which to address both development and environmental issues.

    • Hardcover $38.00
    • Paperback $25.00
  • The Future of the Sea-Based Deterrent

    The Future of the Sea-Based Deterrent

    Kosta Tsipis

    The objective of this book is to ascertain whether extending arms control to cover ASW weapons systems would measurably improve the calculated confidence that defense analysts place in the long-term viability of the missile submarine deterrent.

    No sector of a superpower's defense system is quite so invulnerable against a preemptive attack as its fleet of highly mobile, deep-diving, long-ranging missile-bearing submarines. These make possible a second-strike capability that acts as a forceful deterrent against aggression. But this situation could become unbalanced through the development of effective techniques of strategic antisubmarine warfare (ASW).

    The objective of this book is to ascertain whether extending arms control to cover ASW weapons systems would measurably improve the calculated confidence that defense analysts place in the long-term viability of the missile submarine deterrent. In the course of investigating many questions, a major conclusion that emerges is that there are only a small number of potential measures for strategic ASW control that would significantly increase confidence in this deterrent, but that the matter is not now urgent in any case, because any threat to the submarine deterrent from ASW "seems at the moment uncertain and very far in the future."

    These concerns are addressed in the book by a group of contributors who originally delivered their papers at a conference organized by the American Academy of Arts and Sciences with the support and cooperation of the Carnegie Endowment for Peace, the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, and the Johnson Foundation. The conference was held at "Wingspread," the headquarters of the Johnson Foundation in Racine, Wisconsin, in November 1972.

    The papers range in content from technical considerations to political and legal concerns.

    Contents The future of Sea-Based Deterrence, R. W. Morse • The Triad and U. S. Strategic Policy, J. P. Ruina • Ballistic Missile Submarines as Counterforce Weapons, H. Scoville, Jr. and David G. Hoag • Trident, G. W. Rathjens and J. P. Ruina • The Political Interaction between Tactical and Strategic ASW, H. Brooks • The Interaction of Anti-Submarine Warfare with the Submarine-Based Deterrent, R. L. Garwin • ASW, Arms Control and the Sea-Based Deterrent, B. T. Feld and G. W. Rathjens • Summary of Discussion, H. Scoville, Jr. • Underwater Acoustic Detection, K. Tsipis • Legal Aspects of Arms Control Measures Concerning the Missile-Carrying Submarines and Anti-Submarine Warfare, R. L. Baxter • The Nth Country Submarine/ASW Problem, G. La Rocque

    • Hardcover $22.50
    • Paperback $35.00